Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.216916 1.502911 1.817144 2.185030 2.600937 3.053708 3.580992
2025-05-25 0.823927 1.198786 1.654116 2.234282 2.940403 3.759235 4.767625
2025-06-01 0.611021 1.040695 1.612709 2.395559 3.405585 4.633466 6.207091
2025-06-08 0.424959 0.860365 1.498076 2.433326 3.705979 5.318195 7.454803
2025-06-15 0.326522 0.774849 1.488466 2.595667 4.165748 6.216797 9.001751
2025-06-22 0.241541 0.681095 1.443378 2.692377 4.532606 7.003859 10.431647
2025-06-29 0.171581 0.586656 1.374555 2.737147 4.819049 7.687008 11.742399
2025-07-06 0.110646 0.480738 1.260845 2.691366 4.961296 8.169928 12.794477
2025-07-13 0.075447 0.415462 1.204319 2.725386 5.215379 8.808662 14.066123
2025-07-20 0.049603 0.357554 1.147417 2.747545 5.445590 9.414605 15.302223
2025-07-27 0.027864 0.290536 1.053082 2.688527 5.538351 9.819086 16.263287
2025-08-03 0.014412 0.236029 0.970286 2.636790 5.633422 10.223214 17.226767
2025-08-10 0.007489 0.201121 0.927002 2.658044 5.854295 10.829230 18.504622
2025-08-17 0.002612 0.158876 0.848989 2.598664 5.933152 11.221846 19.485817
2025-08-24 0.001304 0.147017 0.855907 2.715615 6.320953 12.096724 21.182404
2025-08-31 0.000298 0.123023 0.815394 2.724632 6.517163 12.678644 22.461659
2025-09-07 0.000108 0.118794 0.841120 2.882533 6.985437 13.695802 24.397227
2025-09-14 0.000010 0.108097 0.839529 2.977146 7.341420 14.542777 26.093989
2025-09-21 NaN 0.093635 0.817246 3.020229 7.602987 15.244218 27.584440
2025-09-28 NaN 0.073318 0.758975 2.968738 7.683658 15.655519 28.645699
2025-10-05 NaN 0.062505 0.737248 3.003800 7.927377 16.333219 30.115734
2025-10-12 NaN 0.052396 0.712353 3.026792 8.146755 16.973415 31.535558
2025-10-19 NaN 0.039113 0.657792 2.963359 8.192603 17.327114 32.522424